WASHINGTON (AP) — The Federal Reserve doesn’t expect the recovery will be strong enough to quickly drive down the jobless rate, and acknowledged its efforts to keep the rebound going could feed a new speculative bubble. AP – FILE – In this May 24, 2008 file photo, the headquarters of the Federal Reserve Bank is seen … Record-low interest rates “could lead to excessive risk-taking in financial markets,” according to documents released Tuesday of the Fed’s closed-door meeting earlier this month. It also could cause consumers, investors and businesses to worry about inflation taking off. Although Fed officials saw the current likelihood of that as “relatively low,” they pledged to “remain alert to these risks.” At the Nov. 3-4 meeting, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues kept the target range for its bank lending rate at zero to 0.25 percent. Fed policymakers also pledged to hold rates at such super-low levels for an “extended period,” to ensure the recovery gains traction. Most analysts predict that means rates will stay where they are through the rest of this year and into part of 2010. On the economy, the Fed expects the unfolding recovery will be gradual, as modest growth keeps the nation’s unemployment rate elevated over the next several years. Most Fed policymakers said it could take “five or six years” for the economy and the labor market to be consistently healthy. High unemployment, slow income growth and hard-to-get credit will weigh on consumer spending “for some time to come,” the Fed said. Troubles in the commercial real-estate market also will restrain the recovery, according to minutes of the November meeting. Fed officials expected the pace of the recovery “would be rather slow, relative to historical experience.” Recoveries after steep economic downturns are usually robust, the Fed said. In updated economic projections, the Fed said the economy’s contraction for all of this year won’t be as deep as it thought in a forecast released in the summer. That’s because the second half of this year is shaping up better than anticipated. Under a range of new projections, the economy will shrink 0.5 percent or be flat this year. The old forecast called for a contraction of anywhere from 0.6 to 1.6 percent. Growth next year should turn out slightly better than the Fed previously projected– ranging from 2 to 4 percent — up from 0.8 to 4 percent. But that won’t be enough to quickly drive down the unemployment rate, which now stands at 10.2 percent. It’s only the second time in the post-World War II period the rate has topped 10 percent. The central bank predicted the jobless rate could hover between 8.6 and 10.2 percent next year, based on a range of forecasts from Fed policymakers. It’s a tad better than its previous forecast, where the Fed said the jobless rate could rise as high as 10.6 percent. The postwar high was 10.8 percent at the end of 1982 when the country had suffered through a severe recession. Looking ahead to 2011, the Fed said the unemployment rate could drop to anywhere from 7.2 to 8.7 percent. That would still be considered well above normal, which is between 5 and 6 percent. “Most members projected that over the next couple of years, the unemployment rate would remain quite elevated,” according to the Fed minutes. Inflation, meanwhile, should stay under control, the Fed said. Prices this year should increase between 1 and 1.7 percent, and rise a bit higher next year. The new projections were little changed from the old forecast. The new projections buttressed economists’ beliefs that Fed policymakers won’t be in any rush to boost rates. “So long as unemployment remains high and inflation expectations subdued, the Fed has little desire to lift rates,” said Sal Guatieri, economist at BMO Capital Markets. “Since the November meeting, Fed speakers have turned decidedly dovish” likely because unemployment spiked to 10.2 percent just days after that gathering. View original post here: Fed: super-low rates could fuel speculative bubble (AP)
Stocks flat as Fed eyes stronger 2010 (Reuters)
By Rodrigo Campos Reuters – Phones hang from a trading terminal on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, May 19, 2009. … {”s” : “dell,hpq”,”k” : “c10,l10,p20,t10″,”o” : “”,”j” : “”} NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. stocks were mostly flat in low volume on Tuesday as the Federal Reserve lifted its growth estimates for 2010, offsetting data that showed the economy grew at a slower-than-expected pace in the third quarter. Revised government data showed gross domestic product expanded for the first quarter in five, but the increase was just below expectations, and investors scrambled to justify additional stock gains after a 22 percent rise in the S&P 500 so far this year. The downbeat news was offset partially after the Fed revised upward its growth expectation for 2010, while minutes of the last FOMC meeting showed officials are increasingly confident about a durable recovery for the U.S. economy. “You’re getting the cross-current of weak revisions to third-quarter data matrixed against the Fed increasing the growth estimates for the economy for the next year,” said Jim Awad, managing director at Zephyr Management in New York. “But the action in the market is moderate going into the holiday weekend and I wouldn’t read too much into it.” The U.S. stock market will be closed on Thursday in observance of Thanksgiving Day. And on Friday, it will be open for only half a day due to the holiday. The Dow Jones industrial average (DJI: ^DJI – News ) slipped 13.53 points, or 0.13 percent, to 10,437.42. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index ( ^SPX – News ) dipped 0.18 of a point, or 0.02 percent, to 1,106.06. The Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq: ^IXIC – News ) dropped 6.69 points, or 0.31 percent, to 2,169.32. Hewlett-Packard Co (NYSE: HPQ – News ) fell 1.5 percent to $50.26 a day after the blue-chip computer and printer maker reported a quarterly profit that matched its preliminary results, but said the economy remained challenging. HP also said it saw growth in its share of U.S. enterprise PCs, which is rival Dell Corp’s (NasdaqGS: DELL – News ) key market. Dell’s stock fell 3.2 percent to $14.32 and ranked as a top drag on the Nasdaq. Financial stocks showed weakness throughout the session, with JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM – News ), down 2 percent at $42.43, leading the major decliners in the Dow industrials. The KBW bank index (Philadelphia: ^BKX – News ) fell 0.7 percent. Zephyr Management’s Awad said there is concern about banks’ capital after news that the Fed asked lenders that were part of its “stress tests” to submit plans to repay government money. U.S. home prices rose in September, according to the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index, but the increase was less robust than forecast. Home prices for that month were unchanged, according to a separate report from the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency. The Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index (DJI: ^DJUSHB – News ) fell 1.7 percent. (Reporting by Rodrigo Campos; Editing by Jan Paschal) Link: Stocks flat as Fed eyes stronger 2010 (Reuters)
Sprint completes purchase of Virgin Mobile USA (AP)
KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) — Sprint Nextel Corp. on Tuesday said it had completed its $483 million acquisition of Virgin Mobile USA, boosting its presence in the market for customers who pay for cell phone service month-to-month. AP – FILE – In this Monday, Oct. 26, 2009 file photo, a sign hangs outside a Sprint store in … {”s” : “leap,pcs,s”,”k” : “c10,l10,p20,t10″,”o” : “”,”j” : “”} Virgin Mobile shareholders earlier Tuesday voted in favor of the acquisition, which was announced in July and pays them $5.50 in Sprint stock for each Virgin Mobile share. The deal also includes retiring Virgin Mobile’s debt. Sprint Nextel already owned 13.1 percent of Virgin Mobile, which uses Sprint’s network to offer service and has 5.2 million subscribers. Like other so-called “prepaid” vendors, Virgin Mobile primarily appeals to customers who lack the credit or income to qualify for long-term contracts or simply want a bargain over contract-based plans. The market for these customers has expanded as the economy has forced more traditional wireless customers to search for cheaper plans. Sprint, which is based in Overland Park, Kan., ignited a mini-price war in January when it introduced a $50-per-month prepaid unlimited plan under its Boost Mobile brand. It’s unclear how Virgin and Boost will coexist under Sprint, although they have been geared toward different markets — Virgin aimed at teens and 20-somethings while Boost is considered a value brand. The company said customers of both brands won’t see any immediate changes. Other competitors in the prepaid space include No. 4 carrier T-Mobile USA and smaller upstarts like MetroPCS Communications Inc. and Leap Wireless International Inc., which sells under the Cricket brand. Prepaid carriers are expected to have the most growth potential as most people who want wireless service in the U.S. and are eligible for a contracts have a phone already. Virgin Mobile shareholders, which include British billionaire Richard Branson’s Virgin Group and South Korean carrier SK Telecom, will own about 3 percent of Sprint. Sprint shares were down 12 cents, or 3 percent, to $3.78 in afternoon trading Tuesday. See the original post here: Sprint completes purchase of Virgin Mobile USA (AP)
Crude prices sink to $76 per barrel (AP)
Oil prices fell to around $76 a barrel Tuesday with new data showing a slow U.S. economic recovery and consumer confidence that remains lukewarm at best. AP – FILE – In this Sept. 19, 2007 file photo, an oil pump is seen at dusk in Sakhir, … {”s” : “ung,uso”,”k” : “c10,l10,p20,t10″,”o” : “”,”j” : “”} The dollar also gained against other major currencies, which can keep energy prices in check. Benchmark crude for December delivery fell $1.54 to settle at $76.02 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The Commerce Department said the economy grew at a rate of 2.8 percent between July and September, short of estimates for 3.5 percent growth released just a month ago. Consumers are not spending much, commercial construction was weak, businesses trimmed inventories. The lack of consumer spending was partly explained in another report released Tuesday. Americans’ confidence in the economy improved slightly in November from October, but shoppers remain gloomy heading into the holiday shopping season, according to the monthly survey released by the Conference Board. The lack of industrial and consumer activity has played out in weekly oil inventory reports from the Energy Department, with supplies of crude in storage growing. The next weekly report arrives Wednesday, and expectations are that crude and gasoline supplies grew again last week. Retail prices edged lower again, falling less than a penny to $2.638 per gallon Tuesday. That’s a lot more than last year at this time, when gasoline prices plunged to about $1.91 as the economic crisis unfolded. Gasoline consumption for the week ended Friday declined 1.6 percent from the previous week and 1.4 percent from a year ago, according to the weekly MasterCard SpendingPulse report. Year-to-date consumption for 2009, however, is still up 0.6 percent. MasterCard’s report is based on aggregate sales activity in the MasterCard payments network, coupled with estimates for all other payment forms, including cash and check. Still, gasoline prices are being supported by crude, which has traded between $76 and $82 for more than a month. That is largely being blamed on the dollar because oil is bought and sold in the U.S. currency. Investors holding euros or other currencies can buy more oil when the dollar falls. Crude prices rose Monday when the dollar fell. On Tuesday, the dollar gained against the euro, yen, and British pound. Oil prices fell as much as 2 percent. In other Nymex trading, heating oil fell less than a penny to settle at $1.9497 a gallon. Gasoline for December delivery fell almost 4.04 cents to settle at $1.939 a gallon. Natural gas for December delivery rose 1.3 cents to settle at $4.486 per 1,000 cubic feet. In London, Brent crude dropped $1 to settle at $76.46 on the ICE Futures exchange. Associated Press Writers Alex Kennedy in Singapore, Barry Hatton in Lisbon, Portugal, and Jeannine Aversa in Washington contributed to this report. Continued here: Crude prices sink to $76 per barrel (AP)
Ambac Chief Financial Officer Sean Leonard resigns (AP)
NEW YORK (AP) — Embattled bond insurer Ambac Financial Group Inc. announced Tuesday the resignation of its chief financial officer. The company, based in New York, said Sean Leonard left “to pursue other interests.” The resignation is effective immediately. The departure comes just weeks after Ambac said it may be forced to file for bankruptcy protection. In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission Nov. 9, the company said it believes it has enough liquidity to get through the second quarter of 2011, but warned it could run out of money sooner. Ambac for years had backed municipal bonds that rarely defaulted and paid steady dividends. In recent years, however, the company invested in complex new bonds that were comprised of risky mortgages amid the housing bubble. The new bonds were an opportunity for Ambac to generate outsize returns. But as the housing bubble burst and mortgage defaults spiked, the likelihood of issuer default and claims on bond insurance rose. In the filing with the SEC earlier this month, Ambac said it may not be able to generate enough cash to pay operating expenses and debt obligations over the long term. Given the tight credit markets, the company said it also may not be able to access alternate sources of capital. “No assurances can be given that Ambac will be successful in executing any or all of its strategies,” the company said in the filing. Ambac Financial is considering a restructuring of its debt through a prepackaged bankruptcy proceeding. But if it can’t bolster its capital position, the company said it may file for bankruptcy without a lender agreement in place. Leonard joined Ambac in 2005, according to the company. Those who worked under Leonard will report to CEO David Wallis until a replacement is found, Ambac said. An Ambac representative did not immediately return a call for further comment. Shares of Ambac fell 9 cents, or 10 percent, to 81 cents in afternoon trading. In the past year, shares have traded between 35 cents and $2.09. In November of last year, shares were as high as $3.40. More: Ambac Chief Financial Officer Sean Leonard resigns (AP)
Senators press EU to speed its Oracle-Sun probe (AP)
SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — U.S. senators are pressuring European antitrust regulators to hurry their investigation of Oracle Corp.’s proposed acquisition of Sun Microsystems Inc., citing Sun’s “precarious” financial condition and fears about more layoffs at the struggling computing company. A group of 59 senators outlined the concerns in a letter Tuesday to the European Commission, which has held up the $7.4 billion deal over worries that Oracle would be too dominant in the market for database software. Oracle is the leader in proprietary database software — which means its underlying code is kept private — while Sun’s MySQL division makes the No. 1 open-source database. Companies use database software to manage large stockpiles of information, such as their payroll or customer data. The Oracle-Sun combination would be one of the biggest technology deals of the year, and was cleared in August by the U.S. Department of Justice. This month, though, the European Commission notified the Silicon Valley companies of its formal objection to the deal. Oracle and Sun are appealing that ruling before the EU’s preliminary ruling has a chance to become final. EU regulators have until Jan. 27 to wrap up that review. Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., the lead author of Tuesday’s letter, said a further delay in the review “threatens thousands of American jobs, so we felt compelled to ask for a speedy resolution.” “Sun Microsystems’ financial position has become more precarious and the commission’s inquiry has continued,” the letter read. “Some have raised concerns over the company’s ability to continue to employ its thousands of workers. Accordingly, we respectfully request the European Commission complete its investigation of this transaction as quickly as possible.” Both companies had hoped the deal would close this summer. Since it hasn’t, Sun rivals such as IBM Corp. and Hewlett-Packard Co. have been playing up uncertainty about the deal to steal business from Sun. Sun has lost $677 million over the last four quarters. It also said last month it would be cutting up to 3,000 jobs, or 10 percent of its worldwide work force, as it awaits a decision on the fate of the deal. Because of fears that the deal won’t get completed, Sun’s stock is trading for much less than the $9.50 per share that Oracle would pay to acquire the company. The stock fell 4 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $8.50 on Tuesday afternoon. Continue reading here: Senators press EU to speed its Oracle-Sun probe (AP)
Vivendi issues euro1.2 billion in bonds (AP)
PARIS (AP) — France’s Vivendi SA said Tuesday it has issued euro1.2 billion ($1.8 billion) in bonds. The Paris-based media and entertainment giant said the two-part bond issue aims to “increase the average maturity of the debt … and to maintain a good balance between bonds and credit lines.” Vivendi is currently the focus of intense interest because a deal between U.S. media giants Comcast Corp. and NBC Universal to create one of the world’s largest media companies hinges on what the French group decides to do with its 20 percent stake in NBC Universal. Vivendi has an option until Dec. 10 to dispose of its stake in NBC Universal. Majority owner General Electric Co. is expected to buy it and then sell a 51 percent stake of the entire NBC Universal unit to Comcast, which serves about a quarter of the nation’s subscription TV households. Here is the original post: Vivendi issues euro1.2 billion in bonds (AP)
Economy’s rebound not as strong as first thought (AP)
WASHINGTON (AP) — The economy is growing modestly, with consumers too wary about spending to invigorate the recovery. AP – In this Sept. 3, 2009 photo workers build a new commercial building in Warrensville Heights, Ohio. The economy … That picture emerged Tuesday from reports on the nation’s economy and the confidence of consumers, who power 70 percent of it. The economy grew at a 2.8 percent rate last quarter — less than originally estimated. And forecasts for the current quarter are for similarly slight growth before a drop-off next year. The main reasons are that consumers remain reluctant to spend, commercial construction has slipped and imports are dampening U.S. growth. The Commerce Department’s new reading on gross domestic product was weaker than the 3.5 percent growth rate for the July-September period estimated just a month ago. The GDP, which measures the value of all goods and services produced in the United States, also was a tad weaker than the 2.9 percent growth rate that economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters had expected. At the same time, the Conference Board’s latest survey of consumer confidence found that as retailers enter the crucial holiday season, shoppers remain gloomy. Unemployment and tight credit have sapped consumers’ willingness and ability to spend freely. Also Tuesday, the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index of 20 major cities suggested that the housing market’s recovery is continuing, if only gradually. Home prices rose slightly in September. Compared with a year earlier, though, they remain down 9.4 percent. The lackluster reading on economic growth and consumer confidence caused stocks to retreat from their 13-month highs. The Dow Jones industrial and other stock averages were down slightly in midmorning trading. The good news is that the economy finally started to grow again after a record four straight losing quarters. The bad news is that the rebound, now and in the months ahead, probably will be lethargic. The worst recession since the 1930s is very likely over, but the economy’s return to good health will take time, Fed officials and economists say. Growth probably won’t be strong enough to quickly drive down the nation’s unemployment rate, currently at 10.2 percent. Some analysts think it could climb as high as 11 percent by the middle of next year before making a slow descent. It could take at least four years for the unemployment rate to drop back down to more normal levels. For the current quarter, some economists think economic growth will slow to around a 2.5 percent pace, though others say it could reach 3 percent if holiday sales turn out better than expected. Most say they think the economy will weaken again next year, with growth at a pace of around 1 percent as the impact of the $787 billion stimulus package fades and consumers keep tightening their belts under the strain of high unemployment and hard-to-get credit. Much of the economy’s return to growth last quarter reflected federal support for spending on homes and cars. But Tuesday’s report shows that some of that spending was a bit less robust than initially thought. Spending on homes and other residential projects soared at an annualized pace of 19.5 percent last quarter, a little slower than the 23.4 percent rate first estimated. Spending on big-ticket “durable” goods — including cars — jumped at a pace of 20.1 percent, down from 22.3 percent. Even with the downward revisions, it was notable that such spending grew, after falling in the previous quarter. In the third quarter, the popular Cash for Clunkers rebates and an $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers juiced up sales of cars and homes. The clunkers program ended in August, but the tax credit has been extended and expanded beyond first-time buyers. What’s not clear is whether the recovery can continue after government supports are gone. If consumers clam up, the economy could tip back into recession. Tuesday’s report showed that overall consumer spending grew at a pace of 2.9 percent last quarter. That was down from a 3.4 percent growth rate first estimated, though it marked the best showing since early 2007. On the business side, companies cut back spending on commercial construction — a weak spot in the economy — at 15.1 percent annualized pace. That was deeper than the 9 percent annualized cut back first estimated. Businesses also trimmed stockpiles of goods by $133.4 billion last quarter, slightly more than initially estimated. And the nation’s trade deficit ended up shaving 0.83 percentage point off GDP last quarter, more than first thought. Unlike past rebounds that were driven by the spending of everyday Americans, this one appears to hinge on spending by businesses, foreigners and — until it runs out — the government. And in an encouraging note, businesses after-tax profits grew at a 13.4 percent pace last quarter, up from a 0.9 percent pace in the prior period, Tuesday’s report showed. The government makes three estimates of economic activity for any given quarter. Each is based on more complete data. Tuesday’s was the second reading of the third-quarter GDP data. Link: Economy’s rebound not as strong as first thought (AP)
Crude prices near $76 per barrel (AP)
Oil prices fell below $76 a barrel Tuesday with new data showing a slow U.S. economic recovery and consumer confidence that remains luke warm at best. The dollar also gained against other major currencies, which can keep energy prices in check. Benchmark crude for December delivery fell $1.41 to $76.15 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The Commerce Department said the economy grew at a rate of 2.8 percent between July and September, short of estimates for 3.5 percent growth released just a month ago. Consumers are not spending much, commercial construction was weak, businesses trimmed inventories. The lack of consumer spending was partly explained in another report released Tuesday. Americans’ confidence in the economy improved slightly in November from October, but shoppers remain gloomy heading into the holiday shopping season, according to the monthly survey released by the Conference Board. The lack of industrial and consumer activity has played out in weekly oil inventory reports from the Energy Department, with supplies of crude in storage growing. The next weekly report arrives Wednesday, and expectations are that crude and gasoline supplies grew again last week. Retail prices edged lower again, falling less than a penny to $2.638 per gallon Tuesday. That’s a lot more than last year at this time, when gasoline prices plunged to about $1.91 as the economic crisis unfolded. Still, gasoline prices are being supported by crude, which as traded between $76 and $82 for more than a month. That is largely being blamed on the dollar because oil is bought and sold in the U.S. currency. Investors holding euros or other currencies can buy more oil when the dollar falls. Crude prices rose Monday when the dollar fell. On Tuesday, the dollar gained against the euro, yen, and British pound. Oil prices fell as much as 2 percent. In other Nymex trading, heating oil fell about 3 cents to $1.9502 a gallon. Gasoline for December delivery dropped 2.78 cents to $1.9516 a gallon. Natural gas for December delivery fell 7.2 cents to $4.40 per 1,000 cubic feet. In London, Brent crude for January delivery dropped 92 cents to $76.54 on the ICE Futures exchange. Associated Press Writers Alex Kennedy in Singapore, Barry Hatton in Lisbon, Portugal, and Jeannine Aversa in Washington contributed to this report. Read the r est here: Crude prices near $76 per barrel (AP)
Emerging Stock Report Initiates Independent Research Coverage on NexMed, Inc. (GlobeNewswire)
CALGARY, Alberta, Nov. 24, 2009 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Emerging Stock Report, a leading provider of sector specific independent investment research, today initiated coverage on NexMed, Inc. (Nasdaq: NEXM – News ). Emerging Stock Report is currently offering a complimentary trial subscription to the investment community. To view the Report in its entirety visit: http://www.emergingstockreport.com To get our alerts AHEAD of the market follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/EmergingStockRe About ESR: Emerging Stock Report is a leading provider of independent investment research for North American companies. Our services include research analysis on emerging growth companies, sector specific research, real-time news and financial data, market commentary and the ESR newsletter. Emerging Stock Report’s staff of investment professionals are dedicated to providing the the tools and resources necessary to help make important investment decisions. To view our research reports on a complimentary trial basis and take advantage of our other services, visit http://www.emergingstockreport.com and click on the complimentary trial subscription button on our home page, or go directly to our registration page at http://emergingstockreport.com/register.php About NexMed, Inc.: NexMed’s pipeline includes a late stage terbinafine treatment for onychomycosis, a late stage alprostadil treatment for erectile dysfunction, a Phase 2 alprostadil treatment for female sexual arousal disorder, and an early stage treatment for psoriasis. For further information, go to www.nexmed.com . ESR Disclosure: Emerging Stock Report is not a registered investment advisor and nothing contained in any materials should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Emerging Stock Report has not been compensated by any of the above mentioned companies. Please read our report and visit our Web site, http://www.EmergingStockReport.com , for complete risks and disclosures. Follow this link: Emerging Stock Report Initiates Independent Research Coverage on NexMed, Inc. (GlobeNewswire)